Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.002491 0.002644 0.002807 0.002995 0.003209 0.003445 0.003729
2025-03-30 0.002246 0.002451 0.002682 0.002966 0.003312 0.003727 0.004278
2025-04-06 0.002048 0.002275 0.002541 0.002883 0.003322 0.003885 0.004696
2025-04-13 0.001918 0.002162 0.002456 0.002847 0.003372 0.004087 0.005205
2025-04-20 0.001761 0.002000 0.002293 0.002690 0.003239 0.004011 0.005284
2025-04-27 0.001693 0.001942 0.002254 0.002688 0.003309 0.004229 0.005867
2025-05-04 0.001663 0.001928 0.002267 0.002755 0.003482 0.004627 0.006886
2025-05-11 0.001611 0.001882 0.002235 0.002753 0.003550 0.004866 0.007695
2025-05-18 0.001594 0.001880 0.002259 0.002832 0.003752 0.005374 0.009346
2025-05-25 0.001546 0.001833 0.002220 0.002813 0.003790 0.005589 0.010421
2025-06-01 0.001492 0.001777 0.002162 0.002761 0.003766 0.005677 0.011203
2025-06-08 0.001476 0.001770 0.002175 0.002818 0.003935 0.006201 0.013906
2025-06-15 0.001451 0.001753 0.002173 0.002857 0.004089 0.006763 0.017886
2025-06-22 0.001409 0.001709 0.002131 0.002827 0.004110 0.007025 0.021195
2025-06-29 0.001358 0.001650 0.002063 0.002750 0.004031 0.007014 0.022926
2025-07-06 0.001321 0.001610 0.002023 0.002716 0.004034 0.007228 0.027377
2025-07-13 0.001258 0.001532 0.001922 0.002572 0.003802 0.006737 0.024055
2025-07-20 0.001235 0.001509 0.001903 0.002570 0.003859 0.007085 0.031017
2025-07-27 0.001229 0.001511 0.001922 0.002632 0.004057 0.007942 0.058201
2025-08-03 0.001208 0.001490 0.001905 0.002630 0.004118 0.008394 0.105034
2025-08-10 0.001205 0.001496 0.001929 0.002702 0.004359 0.009642 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001182 0.001472 0.001904 0.002685 0.004385 0.010071 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001155 0.001439 0.001865 0.002637 0.004334 0.010142 NaN